‹ Making

Futures (2025)

Predicting the future:

  • Real-time photorealistic AI-generated television shows in 2030. “TV show writer” becomes an internet job.
  • Humanoid robotics, teleoperated over the internet, kebab store workers getting paid $15 USD, working from Africa. Unexpected consumer-facing globalization.
  • Reverse engineering of DNA. Biological fuel cells. Building 100x faster trees.
  • You can speak to anyone from any culture, universal AI translation.
  • Real scarcity – land, gold, bitcoin.
  • Private encrypted finance on blockchains (MPC, FHE).
  • Realtime 1KB recursive ZK proofs.
  • The entire world replicated inside Unity-like game engines. Simulation is cheaper.
  • Internet speeds will be 10–100× faster. Cost of a blockchain will fall to 0. Instantly share 1GB blocks.
  • Continued slow start linear increase in AI capability (since ImageNet 2010).
  • Prisoner’s dilemma solution between encrypted AI’s running on MPC.
  • Public intelligence. Nous DisTrO.

More futures:

  • Reimagining of democracy for the realtime, digital era.
  • Growth in Ethereum, L2’s, Solana.
  • Stablecoins.
  • Bitcoin to $1M, displacing gold, governments racing to buy.
  • Population, birthrates, labour: China, India, Africa.
  • Crypto collateralised USD (Ethena, NakaDollar) - 1 NUSD = $0.5 of Bitcoin + Short $0.5 Bitcoin
  • KYC’d internet due to AI deepfaking - Worldcoin
  • Climate change and weather volatility increase.
  • Realtime multimodal AI models: content (realtime boiler room sets set to current events, infinite TV/content).
  • 3D printing? Mixed reality?
  • Civilisation on Mars.
  • Weather modification (Dubai), terraforming (à la the Dutch), desert regreening.
  • New cities/states - network states, private states, special economic zones.
  • All real world assets (stocks, real estate) on public blockchains.
  • Quantum computing/networks. quantumpunks is my favourite community here.
  • Cheaper, widespread renewable energy (solar, nuclear) - how much cheaper / more supply?
  • Worldwide internet connectivity (Starlink) - remote work?
  • Self-driving cars, taxis, trucks (Tesla, Waymo).
  • Drones - cheaper logistics, surveying?
  • Prediction markets (Polymarket), skin in the game as norm. What new things will markets compute? (see: attention/memecoins for more)
  • Science and AI - how much progress is here?
  • AI - when/will progress plateau?
  • Supersonic travel.